Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Dach 45.1% (+9.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Nelson
Dach
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
39.8% (108)
+10.9%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
57.1% (7)
+1.5%
On even strength, Nelson has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Dach is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dach
Home
52.3% (621)
43.1% (72)
Away
48.9% (618)
37.2% (43)
By Period
Nelson
Dach
P1
48.4%
37.8%
P2
53.5%
41.7%
P3
50.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%