Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Rossi 46.7% (+17.6%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Nelson
Rossi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
33.3% (21)
+16.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
0.0% (1)
+52.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Rossi is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rossi
Home
49.8% (458)
30.8% (13)
Away
49.0% (506)
33.3% (9)
By Period
Nelson
Rossi
P1
50.1%
33.3%
P2
45.4%
16.7%
P3
52.7%
33.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
31.8%