Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Rossi 48.4% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.2%
Defensive zone
Rossi 56.4%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Nelson
Rossi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
47.5% (139)
-0.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
40.0% (5)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
50.0% (2)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Rossi is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rossi
Home
48.9% (521)
53.2% (47)
Away
45.5% (516)
44.4% (99)
By Period
Nelson
Rossi
P1
45.9%
44.4%
P2
48.0%
45.5%
P3
48.0%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
47.3%