Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Rossi 50.4% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Rossi 52.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Nelson
Rossi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
52.8% (400)
-2.1%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
36.1% (36)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
37.0% (27)
+6.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rossi
Home
52.3% (621)
50.0% (242)
Away
48.9% (618)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Nelson
Rossi
P1
48.4%
54.9%
P2
53.5%
48.7%
P3
50.3%
47.9%
OT
41.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%