Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +49.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McTavish 48.5% (+49.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Nelson
McTavish
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
0.0% (3)
+49.9%
On even strength, Nelson has a +49.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. McTavish is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Home / Away
Nelson
McTavish
Home
49.8% (458)
0.0% (2)
Away
49.0% (506)
0.0% (1)
By Period
Nelson
McTavish
P1
50.1%
0.0%
P2
45.4%
0.0%
P3
52.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
0.0%