Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs McTavish 51.5% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 51.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 54.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Nelson
McTavish
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
51.3% (725)
-5.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
55.8% (113)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
28.6% (7)
+1.8%
On power play, McTavish has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Nelson
McTavish
Home
48.7% (419)
52.0% (454)
Away
41.3% (368)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Nelson
McTavish
P1
44.6%
51.3%
P2
47.3%
50.4%
P3
43.0%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%