Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs McTavish 43.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.9%
Defensive zone
McTavish 73.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.9%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Nelson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Nelson
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
42.4% (675)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
40.5% (42)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
50.0% (8)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Nelson
McTavish
Home
48.9% (521)
41.9% (372)
Away
45.5% (516)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Nelson
McTavish
P1
45.9%
47.2%
P2
48.0%
36.2%
P3
48.0%
43.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |