Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 59.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Nelson
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Nelson
Zibanejad
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
7
Nelson
Zibanejad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
7
3
Nelson
Zibanejad
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
54.0% (955)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
55.6% (243)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
35.0% (140)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zibanejad
Home
49.8% (458)
55.2% (656)
Away
49.0% (506)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Nelson
Zibanejad
P1
50.1%
56.3%
P2
45.4%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |