Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.7%). Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Granlund 48.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Nelson
Granlund
Last 9: Nelson 7-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Granlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
47.8% (959)
+1.8%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
54.7% (95)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
58.1% (31)
-5.2%
On power play, Granlund has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
52.9% (210)
50.5% (548)
Away
42.1% (178)
46.7% (537)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
43.9%
51.1%
P2
48.1%
49.1%
P3
53.1%
46.6%
OT
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |