Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Granlund 49.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 65.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
49.5% (588)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
60.5% (43)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
45.2% (93)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
52.5% (590)
54.8% (305)
Away
51.7% (619)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
50.5%
43.8%
P2
54.4%
51.2%
P3
51.4%
53.9%
OT
47.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |