Brock Nelson vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.5%). Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Granlund 48.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
17
(39 meetings)
22
17
Nelson
Granlund
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
6
Nelson
Granlund
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
6
7
Nelson
Granlund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
13
4
Nelson
Granlund
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
48.5% (6,718)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
52.7% (748)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
43.6% (635)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
50.0% (5,845)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
48.7%
48.7%
P2
48.5%
48.7%
P3
47.7%
48.2%
OT
45.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | OT | 00:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |