Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Granlund 47.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 62.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 67.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Nelson
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
46.7% (885)
-0.6%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
44.9% (69)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
49.0% (98)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
48.7% (419)
51.1% (495)
Away
41.3% (368)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
44.6%
49.9%
P2
47.3%
46.4%
P3
43.0%
44.3%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | OT | 00:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |