Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Granlund 45.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 80.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 64.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Nelson
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
46.8% (295)
+0.1%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
38.5% (26)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
36.5% (63)
-11.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
48.9% (521)
47.8% (178)
Away
45.5% (516)
41.7% (206)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
45.9%
44.7%
P2
48.0%
42.9%
P3
48.0%
45.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |