Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 73.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 67.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Nelson
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
55.9% (245)
-6.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
0.0% (3)
+52.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
57.1% (7)
-28.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bjugstad
Home
49.8% (458)
53.2% (111)
Away
49.0% (506)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Nelson
Bjugstad
P1
50.1%
44.6%
P2
45.4%
61.4%
P3
52.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%