Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Hischier 54.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 52.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Nelson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Nelson
Hischier
Last 8: Nelson 4-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Nelson
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Nelson
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
53.2% (250)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
66.7% (75)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
55.6% (36)
+1.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Nelson shoots left. Hischier is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hischier
Home
55.0% (362)
56.9% (153)
Away
43.5% (345)
55.8% (208)
By Period
Nelson
Hischier
P1
49.3%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
48.6%
P3
46.0%
68.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |