Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Hischier 55.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 51.7%
Defensive zone
Hischier 75.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Nelson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Nelson
Hischier
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
55.8% (1,228)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
62.1% (282)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
47.6% (267)
+4.3%
On even strength, Hischier has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hischier
Home
52.5% (590)
56.5% (867)
Away
51.7% (619)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Nelson
Hischier
P1
50.5%
57.9%
P2
54.4%
55.9%
P3
51.4%
52.7%
OT
47.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |