Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Hischier 53.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 53.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nelson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Hischier
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Nelson
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
52.4% (1,185)
-5.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
57.8% (315)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
57.1% (154)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hischier
Home
48.9% (521)
53.4% (844)
Away
45.5% (516)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Nelson
Hischier
P1
45.9%
49.7%
P2
48.0%
54.6%
P3
48.0%
56.1%
OT
33.3%
65.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |