Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Hischier 52.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 48-45 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Nelson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
48
(93 meetings)
45
48
Nelson
Hischier
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
16
9
Nelson
Hischier
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
16
17
Nelson
Hischier
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
13
22
Nelson
Hischier
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
51.5% (8,379)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
59.7% (1,736)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
49.4% (903)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hischier
Home
50.0% (5,845)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Nelson
Hischier
P1
48.7%
52.9%
P2
48.5%
52.4%
P3
47.7%
52.6%
OT
45.6%
50.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |