Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Hischier 54.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 60.7%
Defensive zone
Hischier 51.5%
Neutral zone
Hischier 55.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Nelson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nelson
Hischier
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
55.0% (1,107)
-4.3%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
63.1% (252)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
43.6% (149)
-0.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hischier
Home
52.3% (621)
56.5% (763)
Away
48.9% (618)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Nelson
Hischier
P1
48.4%
56.0%
P2
53.5%
57.6%
P3
50.3%
53.0%
OT
41.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |