Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Hischier 56.2% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 75.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 68.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Nelson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nelson
Hischier
Last 8: Nelson 2-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
5
Nelson
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
56.1% (1,018)
-10.0%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
59.9% (289)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
51.3% (80)
-20.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hischier
Home
48.7% (419)
56.5% (706)
Away
41.3% (368)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Nelson
Hischier
P1
44.6%
54.8%
P2
47.3%
57.8%
P3
43.0%
57.6%
OT
100.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
39.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |