Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Zacha 54.4% (-9.6%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Nelson
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
53.9% (787)
-7.8%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
63.2% (193)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
44.3% (88)
-13.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zacha
Home
48.7% (419)
56.7% (538)
Away
41.3% (368)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Nelson
Zacha
P1
44.6%
52.6%
P2
47.3%
54.8%
P3
43.0%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
39.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%