Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Danault 54.0% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 55.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 61.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Nelson
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Nelson
Danault
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Nelson
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
4
Nelson
Danault
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
55.1% (953)
-8.2%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
64.6% (144)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
42.0% (176)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Nelson
Danault
Home
48.9% (521)
55.4% (641)
Away
45.5% (516)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Nelson
Danault
P1
45.9%
61.0%
P2
48.0%
52.3%
P3
48.0%
51.3%
OT
33.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |