Brock Nelson vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 34 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Danault 53.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 46-43 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Nelson
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
46
(89 meetings)
43
46
Nelson
Danault
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
18
14
Nelson
Danault
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
13
21
Nelson
Danault
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
12
11
Nelson
Danault
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
53.6% (9,447)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
61.4% (757)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
47.4% (1,702)
-3.6%
On power play, Danault has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Home / Away
Nelson
Danault
Home
50.0% (5,845)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Nelson
Danault
P1
48.7%
53.7%
P2
48.5%
53.5%
P3
47.7%
52.7%
OT
45.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |