Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.3%). Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Suter 49.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 52.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 59.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Nelson
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Nelson
Suter
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
3
Nelson
Suter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
49.8% (840)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
57.4% (68)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
39.6% (96)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Suter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Nelson
Suter
Home
49.8% (458)
49.8% (502)
Away
49.0% (506)
48.8% (502)
By Period
Nelson
Suter
P1
50.1%
46.7%
P2
45.4%
51.7%
P3
52.7%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |