Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Suter 46.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 62.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Nelson
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Nelson
Suter
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Suter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Suter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Nelson
Suter
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
46.2% (3,208)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
52.9% (278)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
40.3% (303)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
Nelson
Suter
Home
50.0% (5,845)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Nelson
Suter
P1
48.7%
46.6%
P2
48.5%
46.0%
P3
47.7%
46.1%
OT
45.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |