Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Suter 43.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Suter 65.4%
Neutral zone
Suter 55.2%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Nelson
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nelson
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Nelson
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
42.4% (740)
+8.9%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
48.0% (75)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
37.3% (59)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Nelson
Suter
Home
52.5% (590)
41.8% (407)
Away
51.7% (619)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Nelson
Suter
P1
50.5%
44.7%
P2
54.4%
41.5%
P3
51.4%
41.9%
OT
47.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%