Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 46.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Suter 47.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Suter 56.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Nelson
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Nelson
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.0% (421)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
50.0% (4)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
31.3% (32)
-6.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Nelson
Suter
Home
48.9% (521)
48.6% (183)
Away
45.5% (516)
45.6% (274)
By Period
Nelson
Suter
P1
45.9%
47.1%
P2
48.0%
47.3%
P3
48.0%
46.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |