Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Suter 48.6% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.7%
Neutral zone
Suter 53.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Nelson
Suter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
50.1% (357)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
43.8% (16)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
40.5% (79)
+2.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Suter is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Nelson
Suter
Home
52.3% (621)
48.0% (223)
Away
48.9% (618)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Nelson
Suter
P1
48.4%
48.9%
P2
53.5%
47.3%
P3
50.3%
49.7%
OT
41.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%