Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Fabbri 49.8% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 50.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Nelson
Fabbri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
49.4% (89)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (20)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Fabbri is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Nelson
Fabbri
Home
49.8% (458)
50.0% (50)
Away
49.0% (506)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Nelson
Fabbri
P1
50.1%
51.9%
P2
45.4%
51.2%
P3
52.7%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.5%