Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Fabbri 47.6% (+8.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Nelson
Fabbri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
50.0% (16)
-3.1%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
20.0% (10)
+37.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Fabbri is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Nelson
Fabbri
Home
48.9% (521)
42.9% (14)
Away
45.5% (516)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Nelson
Fabbri
P1
45.9%
25.0%
P2
48.0%
41.7%
P3
48.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
38.5%