Scouting Report
Robby Fabbri holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Fabbri 54.5% (-13.1%)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 60.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Nelson
Fabbri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
48.2% (56)
-2.1%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
68.3% (63)
-33.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
0.0% (1)
+30.4%
On power play, Fabbri has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Fabbri is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Nelson
Fabbri
Home
48.7% (419)
56.5% (69)
Away
41.3% (368)
60.8% (51)
By Period
Nelson
Fabbri
P1
44.6%
48.6%
P2
47.3%
60.4%
P3
43.0%
65.7%
Final 5 min
39.4%
63.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.3%