Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Thomas 52.9% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 60.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Nelson
Thomas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
53.2% (1,166)
-7.1%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
56.9% (262)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
48.4% (221)
-18.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Nelson
Thomas
Home
48.7% (419)
51.6% (830)
Away
41.3% (368)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Nelson
Thomas
P1
44.6%
52.7%
P2
47.3%
55.6%
P3
43.0%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
39.4%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%