Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Bennett 47.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 63.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Nelson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Nelson
Bennett
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Nelson
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Nelson
Bennett
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
45.5% (756)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
63.0% (92)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
31.0% (29)
-2.4%
On power play, Bennett has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bennett
Home
49.8% (458)
46.5% (456)
Away
49.0% (506)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Nelson
Bennett
P1
50.1%
46.6%
P2
45.4%
50.5%
P3
52.7%
43.5%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |