Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 90.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 78.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Nelson
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Nelson
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
44.1% (324)
+7.2%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
40.3% (72)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
33.9% (118)
+18.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Nelson
Reinhart
Home
52.5% (590)
40.5% (232)
Away
51.7% (619)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Nelson
Reinhart
P1
50.5%
46.4%
P2
54.4%
32.6%
P3
51.4%
45.4%
OT
47.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |