Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.0%). Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Laughton 49.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.0%
Defensive zone
Laughton 54.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Nelson
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nelson
Laughton
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Laughton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
49.9% (375)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
85.7% (7)
-33.8%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
36.7% (49)
+20.8%
On power play, Laughton has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Nelson shoots left. Laughton is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laughton
Home
55.0% (362)
46.0% (211)
Away
43.5% (345)
51.8% (220)
By Period
Nelson
Laughton
P1
49.3%
53.1%
P2
53.6%
52.2%
P3
46.0%
42.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |