Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Laughton 49.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Laughton 67.8%
Neutral zone
Laughton 59.6%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Nelson
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Nelson
Laughton
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Laughton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
2
4
Nelson
Laughton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
49.1% (761)
-3.0%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
49.3% (69)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
47.6% (147)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Laughton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laughton
Home
48.7% (419)
50.7% (485)
Away
41.3% (368)
47.2% (492)
By Period
Nelson
Laughton
P1
44.6%
46.5%
P2
47.3%
51.1%
P3
43.0%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
39.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |