Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Laughton 50.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 45-34 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 66.6%
Defensive zone
Laughton 52.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Nelson
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
45
(79 meetings)
34
45
Nelson
Laughton
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
17
14
Nelson
Laughton
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
8
17
Nelson
Laughton
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
9
14
Nelson
Laughton
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
50.9% (5,383)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
52.6% (327)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
46.6% (887)
-2.8%
On even strength, Laughton has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,329).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laughton
Home
50.0% (5,845)
51.2% (3,255)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
49.6% (3,342)
By Period
Nelson
Laughton
P1
48.7%
49.2%
P2
48.5%
52.9%
P3
47.7%
49.1%
OT
45.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |