Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Laughton 50.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.8%
Defensive zone
Laughton 64.8%
Neutral zone
Laughton 57.3%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Nelson
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Nelson
Laughton
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
2
3
Nelson
Laughton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Nelson
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
52.3% (398)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
51.4% (37)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
41.3% (63)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Laughton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laughton
Home
52.5% (590)
51.2% (285)
Away
51.7% (619)
50.2% (213)
By Period
Nelson
Laughton
P1
50.5%
50.0%
P2
54.4%
55.9%
P3
51.4%
47.0%
OT
47.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |