Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.3%). Look for Laughton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Laughton 47.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Laughton 71.4%
Neutral zone
Laughton 50.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Nelson
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Laughton
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Nelson
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Nelson
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
47.4% (719)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
50.4% (129)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
45.0% (229)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Laughton is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laughton
Home
48.9% (521)
50.2% (520)
Away
45.5% (516)
44.5% (557)
By Period
Nelson
Laughton
P1
45.9%
44.2%
P2
48.0%
49.1%
P3
48.0%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
36.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |