Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Laughton 56.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.9%
Defensive zone
Laughton 83.2%
Neutral zone
Laughton 60.9%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Nelson
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Nelson
Laughton
Last 9: Nelson 5-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Laughton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
3
Nelson
Laughton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
55.2% (455)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
75.0% (4)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
62.8% (137)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Laughton is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laughton
Home
52.3% (621)
57.4% (263)
Away
48.9% (618)
56.8% (333)
By Period
Nelson
Laughton
P1
48.4%
55.3%
P2
53.5%
61.4%
P3
50.3%
53.5%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |