Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Crosby 52.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 63.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Nelson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Crosby
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Nelson
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
50.8% (1,169)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
60.2% (261)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
45.0% (20)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Nelson
Crosby
Home
49.8% (458)
53.2% (726)
Away
49.0% (506)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Nelson
Crosby
P1
50.1%
51.3%
P2
45.4%
52.1%
P3
52.7%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |