Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Crosby 55.5% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 73.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Nelson
Crosby
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
53.7% (984)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
64.7% (241)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
64.3% (14)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Nelson
Crosby
Home
52.3% (621)
56.9% (649)
Away
48.9% (618)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Nelson
Crosby
P1
48.4%
55.8%
P2
53.5%
53.2%
P3
50.3%
58.7%
OT
41.2%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%