Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Crosby 52.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 69.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Nelson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Nelson
Crosby
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Nelson
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
52.5% (1,443)
-5.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
54.7% (369)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
55.9% (34)
-30.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Nelson
Crosby
Home
48.9% (521)
53.0% (931)
Away
45.5% (516)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Nelson
Crosby
P1
45.9%
50.3%
P2
48.0%
55.4%
P3
48.0%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |