Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 50.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Nelson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Nelson
Crosby
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Nelson
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
5
Nelson
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
56.2% (1,451)
-4.9%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
61.4% (293)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
55.3% (38)
-3.4%
On even strength, Crosby has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Nelson
Crosby
Home
52.5% (590)
59.1% (939)
Away
51.7% (619)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Nelson
Crosby
P1
50.5%
54.9%
P2
54.4%
60.8%
P3
51.4%
55.4%
OT
47.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |