Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Duchene 52.8% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.7%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 75.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 58.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Jarnkrok
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
46.9% (162)
+4.9%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
73.2% (56)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
100.0% (2)
-56.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Home
53.0% (281)
58.4% (125)
Away
48.4% (186)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Duchene
P1
51.6%
56.9%
P2
50.6%
52.5%
P3
51.5%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%