Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.7%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 75.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 60.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Jarnkrok
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
53.9% (193)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
49.2% (65)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Home
55.3% (47)
54.9% (113)
Away
34.0% (47)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Duchene
P1
33.3%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
52.7%
P3
48.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |