Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs Duchene 51.6% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 60.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 56.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Jarnkrok
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
51.2% (324)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
16.7% (6)
+42.1%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Home
66.7% (18)
51.6% (182)
Away
46.7% (15)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Duchene
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
72.7%
56.2%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%