Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Duchene 55.6% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 61.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Jarnkrok
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
56.5% (566)
-2.8%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
61.3% (62)
-51.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
22.2% (9)
+27.8%
On power play, Duchene has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Home
50.7% (71)
56.6% (318)
Away
47.5% (61)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Duchene
P1
52.1%
57.2%
P2
40.5%
55.1%
P3
56.1%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%