Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Staal 56.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 71.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Cizikas
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Staal
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Cizikas
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
58.9% (1,041)
-1.1%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
53.4% (73)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
49.1% (171)
-4.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Staal
Home
56.6% (484)
59.0% (578)
Away
54.5% (477)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Cizikas
Staal
P1
57.2%
57.1%
P2
54.7%
60.9%
P3
54.8%
55.8%
OT
100.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
57.4%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |