Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.5%). Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Staal 54.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 56.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Cizikas
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Cizikas
Staal
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Cizikas
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
5
Cizikas
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
57.0% (1,017)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.7% (26)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
45.1% (286)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Staal
Home
55.4% (303)
54.3% (667)
Away
54.9% (308)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Cizikas
Staal
P1
53.0%
56.2%
P2
56.0%
57.0%
P3
56.2%
49.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |